He has a 12-11 straight-up career home record versus 8-16 in away games, and Smith has covered in his last six home starts. No matter which uniform he's worn, Geno Smith has performed much better in home games than on the road.

The model expects that to happen this week, with Burrow throwing for nearly 300 yards and two scores to help the Bengals cover in over 50 percent of simulations.Īnother one of the model's Week 3 NFL predictions: The Seahawks (-1) cover the spread at home versus the Falcons. The Jets only have three sacks and nine quarterback hits in the first two games, and Burrow is still dangerous when he has time considering the weapons at his disposal. However, Cincinnati is hopeful that it can right the ship against a Jets squad that hasn't produced much pressure so far this year. The offensive line allowed Joe Burrow to be sacked a league-leading 51 times in 2021 and the third-year quarterback has already gone down 13 times over the first two weeks of the 2022 NFL season. The defending AFC champions are once again struggling in pass protection. One of the model's strongest Week 3 NFL picks is that the Bengals (-6.5) go on the road and cover against the Jets. Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 3 NFL odds from Caesars and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-102 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. All of the Week 3 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 3 NFL picks now. However, they'll face a much stiffer challenge, with the Bills favored by 4.5 according to the latest Week 3 NFL spreads. The Dolphins have also been a surprise 2-0 team, especially when you consider they trailed the Ravens 28-7 at one point in Week 2. Now, they're listed as one-point home favorites in the Week 3 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook as they take on the Dak Prescott-less Cowboys on Monday Night Football.

The Giants didn't have a winning record at any point from 2017 to 2021, but have won their first two games of the season over the Titans and Panthers. There are only six teams in the NFL with 2-0 records, but perhaps the most surprising is the New York Giants.

Odds for week 3 nfl games